Archwarrior an early favorite in this upcoming 2013 Kentucky Derby is a 2 year old colt purchased from Alto Racing LLC for $375,000. The horse has some great pedigree in which he has Arch and Winner’s Edge in his DNA. If your unfamiliar with either of these two horses they both have produced some impressive winners on the tracks. Some of these horses include stake winners Return to Paradise, Coya, and Lucky Song.
Recently, the trainer Tod Pletcher informed the Daily Racing Form “We’re happy to get him, Hopefully he runs as well as he has trained”. Just like any other hyped breed of horse there has been a ton of speculation on his winning ability but he needs to be able to walk the walk. As of 09/11/2012 Archwarrior has only ran in one maiden race in which he won impressively by just over 3 lengths with a time of 1 minute 10 seconds flat.
What I Don’t Like About Archwarrior
Archwarrior as this years preliminary favorite to win the Kentucky Derby. Wow history has shown being an early crap shoot favorite to win any major derby has usually been a failure. Here is a couple more detailed reasons why I don’t like his odds. First I’m personally not that impressed with his time during his initial race at Saratoga. Another downfall and no pun intended is Todd Pletcher; although Todd is arguably one of the greatest horse trainers today his Kentucky Derby record stinks. Todd actually hasn’t won a Kentucky Derby event in over a decade. Yes he does have two 2nd place finishes with Invisible Ink in 2001 and Blugrass Cat in 2006 but when You consider Todd has started 25 horses in the past decade in the Derby it’s best you fade his horse selections.
What I Like About Archwarrior
During Archwarrior’s initial race at Saratoga he listened very well with Johnny Velazquez his current jockey. The race started off very fast and Johnny told him to stalk a tad and he did well at it. The horse stayed calm and collected and showed great maturity for his age. Archwarrior also is built like a tank which means he is going to need to hang around the mid front of the pack so when he goes around the final turn he can muster all he has. According to Johnny Velazquez, “he’s not as fast as Uncle Mow however Archwarrior will get better when the distances get longer”.
In conclusion I don’t have anything against Archwarrior and think he will do OK but not as good as all the hype going around him and You especially wont find me betting money on him. I’m going to make a bold statement and predict Archwarrior will not even run in this upcoming Kentucky Derby especially after the new rules and regulations that have been put in place where horses are selected based on wins and not money earned. This horse needs to produce and win races and possibly down the road I will reevaluate my thoughts towards his chances on becoming the next great race horse.